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News · Magic: The Gathering

Reality Fracture after launch week: 38 of its 42 big cards are already cheaper

The median big card lost 12% in nine days. The $490 Fracture Foil Jace is one of only three cards that went up.

Hexhaven Invigorator Borderless Facet Foil from Magic: The Gathering Reality Fracture
Hexhaven Invigorator, Borderless Facet Foil: $516.07 at the end of launch week, $433.33 on Oct 25.
Reality Fracture, cards worth $20+, since launch week 38 of 42down median −12.1%

Reality Fracture came out on October 2. We leave its first two weeks out, because launch prices are set before boxes are opened at scale. From October 16, the last day of launch week, to October 25, 38 of the 42 cards worth $20 or more got cheaper. The median card lost 12.1% in nine days.

The top of the set held

The most expensive card is the Showcase Fracture Foil The Theorist, Jace Beleren. It went from $469.75 to $490.77, up 4.5%. It is still below its first market price after release, $549.95, but the slide stopped at the end of launch week.

The Theorist, Jace Beleren (Showcase) (Fracture Foil)
$451.80$494.91$538.02$581.13
$493.95
Sep 30Oct 8Oct 17Oct 26
TCGplayer market price, raw copies · tcgratetcgrate.com

Two more cards near the top barely moved: Craterclaw Colossus in Facet Foil lost 0.5%, and Return to the Light Realms lost 2%.

Omnipresence is down 18% in nine days

Omnipresence in Borderless Facet Foil went from $472.94 to $387.63. Its first market price after release was $880, so it has now lost more than half of where it opened. Hexhaven Invigorator fell 16%, from $516.07 to $433.33.

The steepest drops are the cheaper cards

Samut, Tyrant of Naktamun in Borderless foil lost a third, from $30.41 to $20.32. The regular foil The Theorist, Jace Beleren took a round trip: it opened at $35.69, more than doubled to $80.53 by the end of launch week, and has since come down to $54.48, a 32% drop.

The ten most expensive cards

CardOct 16Oct 25Change
The Theorist, Jace Beleren (Showcase) (Fracture Foil)$469.75$490.77+4.5%
Craterclaw Colossus (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$446.56$444.26−0.5%
Hexhaven Invigorator (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$516.07$433.33−16.0%
Darklight Phoenix (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$482.39$420.83−12.8%
Return to the Light Realms (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$416.75$408.22−2.0%
Omnipresence (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$472.94$387.63−18.0%
Emrakul, the Exigent Doom (Showcase) (Fracture Foil)$352.88$347.16−1.6%
Stingcaster Mage (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$287.72$278.57−3.2%
Kwia Vigorbloom (Showcase) (Fracture Foil)$319.99$269.51−15.8%
Seasoned Cryomancer (Borderless) (Facet Foil)$230.37$239.79+4.1%

Nine days is early

New sets usually keep falling after the first month. The Hobbit had 36 of its 37 big cards down two months after launch week. For Reality Fracture the direction is the same, and the expensive Showcase and Facet Foil cards are holding better than the cheaper ones so far. All cards from the set are on the Reality Fracture page.